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California · Policy & Funding

California Marks Second Year of Full Universal TK as Enrollment Grows but Uptake Rate Declines

Enrollment in the state's free pre-K program rose to 213,313 in 2025-26, but the share of eligible children enrolled fell to 52 percent, according to state data.

California TK Enrollment140,000160,000180,000200,000220,000240,0002023-242024-252025-26213,313
Original Research by SchoolDecision.com
TK enrollment grew by more than 40 percent over two school years after eligibility expanded to all four-year-olds. [2]

California has entered the second year of full implementation of Universal Transitional Kindergarten, a program that guarantees free pre-K to every four-year-old in the state. Governor Gavin Newsom marked the milestone on August 19, 2026, and his office said the program saves families nearly $14,000 per child on average in child care costs. According to the governor's office, the state has invested $12.5 billion since 2019 to expand TK to all four-year-olds.

Enrollment in TK reached 213,313 students in the 2025-26 school year, according to California Department of Education census day data. That is up from 177,570 in 2024-25 and 151,491 in 2023-24, representing a 20 percent increase and a 17 percent increase in consecutive years.

How Universal TK Developed

California first created Transitional Kindergarten in 2012 as a voluntary grade for a narrow age band of children born between September and December who were no longer eligible for kindergarten after the state moved the cutoff date. That program served roughly 100,000 children annually until 2021, when Assembly Bill 130 began expanding eligibility incrementally. The Public Policy Institute of California reported that the phased rollout from 2022-23 to 2025-26 gradually lowered the eligibility cutoff, ultimately covering all four-year-olds by the 2025-26 school year. The universal expansion more than doubled the prior enrollment.

Take-Up Rate Declines

While total enrollment has grown, the share of eligible children actually enrolled has fallen. According to the California Budget & Policy Center, the take-up rate dropped from 62 percent in 2021-22, before eligibility expanded, to 52 percent by the 2025-26 school year at full expansion. That means nearly half of four-year-olds eligible for free pre-K are not participating.

Share of Eligible Children Enrolled in TK62%2021-2252%2025-26
Original Research by SchoolDecision.com
The percentage of eligible children participating in TK fell from 62 percent to 52 percent as eligibility expanded to all four-year-olds. [6]

A June 2025 report from the Public Policy Institute of California found that in 2023-24, 91 percent of elementary and unified districts and 85 percent of schools offered TK, with 84 percent increasing full-day options. Districts reported moving toward developmentally appropriate play-based learning, but also identified significant ongoing challenges with facilities, curriculum development, and staffing, suggesting the need for increased funding and professional development.

Uncertainties Remain

The California Budget & Policy Center analysis noted that TK funding flows through the state's Local Control Funding Formula using average daily attendance, with a per-ADA base grant of $10,256 in 2025-26 plus an additional $5,545 per ADA to maintain the required 10 to 1 student-to-adult ratio. The analysis identified a gap in funding for English learner TK students after the state removed the English language proficiency assessment as developmentally inappropriate. Policymakers addressed it with $7.5 million in supplemental funds and a proxy methodology, the center reported.

The governor's office has asserted that test results and student outcomes continue to improve and that students are making gains in English, math, and science, attributing these broadly to the state's historic education investments including TK. However, no independent published evaluation isolating TK's specific contribution to academic outcomes was identified in the available sources. The announcement did not separate TK's impact from other concurrent investments such as community schools, expanded learning programs, and universal meals, making the claim contested.

Analysis

By the School Decision Newsroom, written after the reporting above was filed.

Declining uptake after universal pre-K expansion is a pattern other states have lived through.

Oklahoma launched universal pre-K in 1998. Participation peaked at 76 percent of four-year-olds by 2013-14 and has since fallen to 65 percent in 2024-25. Georgia's rate dropped from 61 percent to 55 percent. Florida and Wisconsin have also slid from above 70 percent to the mid-60s. NIEER, the national pre-K research group, calls these states "canaries in the coal mine" and warns that declining participation after expansion is a pattern, not a California-specific problem. The common thread: families cite hours, program fit, and preference for other arrangements. California's drop from 62 to 52 percent mirrors what these older programs experienced a decade in.

The $14,000 savings figure covers tuition, not the full cost of care.

The governor's $14,000 figure reflects what families would pay for full-time private preschool, but TK covers school hours only. A July 2025 Stanford survey of California families found that 20 percent of those who declined TK cited wrong hours or no transportation as the primary barrier, and parents worried about limited school hours, lack of care during breaks, and the added cost of before- and after-school care. A CalMatters interview with enrolled families found they still pay for after-school programs, though at roughly a third of private preschool costs. The real savings depend on whether a family can use TK without paying for wraparound care.

The most rigorous TK study found no test-score gains, contradicting the governor's academic claims.

PPIC, the same research institute cited in the story, followed early TK cohorts through elementary school and found that TK does not improve grade 3 and 4 test scores beyond other pre-K options. The strongest documented effects were earlier identification of English learners and special education needs, plus positive social-emotional outcomes for English-only students. For multilingual students, those social-emotional effects were small or slightly negative. The governor's claim that TK is driving academic gains has no evaluation isolating TK's contribution at universal scale, and the most rigorous study available does not support it.

Sources

  1. Governor of California. As school begins, California launches universal Transitional Kindergarten, free meals for EVERY student and historic supports for kids View
  2. California Department of Education. Enrollment by Grade Comparison - CalEdFacts View
  3. California Department of Finance (eBudget). TK-12 Education - 2026-27 GB Budget Summary View
  4. California Department of Finance (eBudget). 2025-26 GB Budget Summary - TK-12 Education View
  5. California Department of Education. Celebrating Universal Transitional Kindergarten - Letters View
  6. California Budget & Policy Center. Q&A: How California Funds Universal Transitional Kindergarten View
  7. Public Policy Institute of California. California's Transitional Kindergarten Expansion View
  8. National Institute for Early Education Research. Executive Summary | 2024 State of Preschool Yearbook View
  9. The Oklahoman. Oklahoma pioneered free preschool. Why is enrollment dropping? View
  10. Rapid Survey Project / Stanford University. California families with young children speak about their experience with transitional kindergarten View
  11. CalMatters. Newsom expanded free preschool. Now private daycares can't compete. View
  12. Public Policy Institute of California. Assessing Transitional Kindergarten's Impact on Elementary School Trajectories View
California Marks Second Year of Full Universal TK as Enrollment Grows but Uptake Rate Declines | School Decision