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National · The Data

Post-pandemic teacher turnover persists, with disparities by poverty and subject

National data show teacher attrition rose above pre-pandemic levels in 2021-22. High-poverty and STEM classrooms were hit hardest.

Teacher attrition by school poverty level10%High-poverty schools6%Low-poverty schools
Original Research by SchoolDecision.com
Teacher attrition rates during the 2021-22 school year were higher in schools serving higher concentrations of students in poverty. [2]

The National Center for Education Statistics reported that 8 percent of public school teachers left the profession during the 2021-22 school year, an increase from about 7 percent in 2018-19. The rise, though small in percentage points, broke a period of relative stability and indicates that pandemic-era disruptions had a lasting effect on teacher retention.

Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show that quit rates in state and local education jobs rose to 2.3 percent in 2022. That figure is similar to quit rates in other public-sector jobs, around 2.0 percent, but remains below the private-sector average of approximately 3.0 percent, underscoring that education turnover did not spike as high as in the broader economy.

Disparities by poverty and subject

NCES data show that in high-poverty schools, 10 percent of teachers left in 2021-22, compared to 6 percent in low-poverty schools. This gap existed before the pandemic and was present in 2021-22 data. Teachers in special education and STEM fields also left at higher rates — roughly 2 percentage points above the overall teacher average, according to NCES analyses.

Long-standing patterns and pandemic context

Pre-pandemic teacher turnover hovered around 7 to 8 percent annually based on earlier NCES survey cycles, with higher attrition in high-poverty schools a documented pattern for more than a decade. The post-pandemic increase builds on that pre-existing gap rather than creating a wholly new problem.

Bureau of Labor Statistics data also show that public education quit rates have historically been lower than private-sector quit rates. The post-pandemic rise in education turnover, while notable, did not push attrition to levels typical in sectors such as retail or hospitality. This structural difference suggests that factors unique to education, such as job security and pension structures, may moderate turnover even during stressed periods.

Research on causes

A RAND Corporation survey found that teachers who reported higher levels of pandemic-related stress and burnout were significantly more likely to indicate plans to leave the profession. The strength of this evidence is mixed because stated intentions do not always translate into actual departure. Researchers caution that the data landscape remains fragmented, with many states lacking consistent systems to track teacher movement over time.

Analysis

By the School Decision Newsroom, written after the reporting above was filed.

The 8 percent leaver rate sits within a two-decade range, not a pandemic break

NCES survey data show public school teacher leaver rates of 8.4 percent in 2004-05, 8.0 percent in 2008-09, 7.7 percent in 2012-13, and 8.0 percent in 2021-22. The rate has stayed between 7.4 and 8.4 percent since 2000. The article frames the shift from 7 percent to 8 percent as ending a period of stability, but the same survey's own historical record shows identical rates two decades ago. The pandemic appears to have ended a brief dip, not shattered a long-standing norm.

The national figures are two school years behind. State records show attrition got worse.

The NCES data come from the 2021-22 school year. North Carolina's state tracking runs through 2023-24 and shows attrition jumped from 7.78 percent in 2021-22 to 11.45 percent in 2022-23, then fell to 9.88 percent in 2023-24. If other states followed a similar arc, the 8 percent national figure understates what families lived through in the last two years. NCES is collecting its next follow-up survey now, the 2024-25 TFS, with results expected in 2026.

Targeted bonuses cut turnover in high-poverty STEM classrooms. Whether they help students is less clear.

North Carolina paid $1,800 per year to certified math, science, and special education teachers in high-poverty secondary schools from 2001 through 2004. The bonus reduced turnover among those teachers by 12 percent, with experienced teachers responding most. Washington State ran a similar bonus for board-certified teachers in high-poverty schools. It increased the share of certified teachers but produced no detectible improvement in student test scores. Keeping teachers in seats and improving outcomes for their students are not the same thing.

Sources

  1. National Center for Education Statistics. National Teacher and Principal Survey (NTPS) 2022–23 View
  2. National Center for Education Statistics. Condition of Education: Teacher Turnover View
  3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) View
  4. National Center for Education Statistics. Teacher Attrition and Mobility: Results From the 2012–13 Teacher Follow-up Survey View
  5. National Center for Education Statistics. Teacher Attrition and Mobility: Pre-pandemic baselines from NTPS View
  6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. JOLTS: Education Services Quit Rates vs. Private Sector View
  7. RAND Corporation. Pandemic-Related Teacher Stress and Burnout View
  8. National Center for Education Statistics. Teachers' status by year: Percentage distribution of teacher stayers, movers, and leavers, 1988-89 through 2021-22 View
  9. North Carolina Department of Public Instruction. Teacher attrition declined in 2023-24 school year; still higher than average of past several years View
  10. NBER Working Papers. Would Higher Salaries Keep Teachers in High-Poverty Schools? Evidence from a Policy Intervention in North Carolina View
  11. PMC / Economics of Education Review. Do bonuses affect teacher staffing and student achievement in high poverty schools? Evidence from Washington State View
  12. Federal Register / NCES. 2024-25 Teacher Follow-up Survey (TFS) data collection clearance notice View
Post-pandemic teacher turnover persists, with disparities by poverty and subject | School Decision